What's next

What you see today is a working system, not a finished one. This page is the roadmap: what keeps improving, what is planned, and one ambition we are still weighing.

The model keeps getting better

The model behind this site is not a one-off calculation. New signals are added when they prove themselves against the historical record, data is refreshed on a rolling schedule, and changes ship only after they are tested against the years we already know the answer to.

It runs at personal cost, in time and in money, and improving it is ongoing work. If a figure looks different this week than last, that is the system doing its job: the picture changed, or the model reading it did.

A newsletter, when it is ready

A newsletter is in the works: what moved on the board, which rumours are worth taking seriously, and why the numbers changed.

The whole poster

Today this site predicts one thing: the Pyramid Stage headline slots. That is deliberate. The headline slots are where the public evidence runs deepest, the candidate pool is small enough to model honestly, and a wrong call is there for everyone to see.

The ambition is the whole poster. Predicting a full bill means enriching data across tens of thousands of artists rather than a few hundred serious headline candidates, and we are still working out whether that is feasible at all. Headliners first is the first step of that plan: prove the method where it can be checked, then widen it.

The poster you see is step one.

The rest of the bill is the mountain behind it.